Saturday, October 28, 2006

Bloomberg: The US Economy Is Worse Than Reported


That should've been the headline. Here's the real one:

U.S. Data Fluke Exaggerated Growth, Will Be Reversed

Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) -- An unexpected increase in auto production last quarter was a statistical fluke that will be reversed, making current U.S. economic growth even weaker, according to a former Commerce Department economist.

Last quarter's annualized 26 percent increase in motor vehicle production shocked Joe Carson, now director of economic research at AllianceBernstein LP in New York. Without the gain, the economy would have grown at an annual rate of 0.9 percent, not the 1.6 percent the Commerce Department reported today.

The reported increase in output came despite cutbacks announced by General Motors Corp., Ford Motor Co. and others. A drop in the wholesale price of SUVs and light trucks as the automakers cleared leftover 2006 models made production look stronger than it actually was, said Carson. The economic fallout from the auto-industry cutbacks will instead come this quarter, he said.

``Last quarter was weak even with the benefit of this mismatch and the fourth quarter will now also be weak because it's going the other way,'' Carson said. ``Whatever output you have this quarter, which will probably be down, will be discounted by a likely rebound in prices.''

Another day, another BushCo "strong economy" lie. For this and so many other lies this week, all members of the Bush adminstration are this week's Backside of the Bell Curve winners. Congrats!

Hey, Mr. Carson! If anything happens to you after this report, do you think it will be called a "fluke accident?" Be careful. We need honest players like you!

Best bar bet in the world: Delilah didn't do it.
Judges 16:19--

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